Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
6
1
HT : 3 0
FT Villa Park
  • Douglas Luiz 7' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 14' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 21' goal
  • Pervis Estupinan 26' goal
  • Lucas Digne 32' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 57' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 65' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 85' goal
  • Jhon Duran 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 39'
  • goal Ansu Fati 50'
  • yellowcard Ansu Fati 72'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 79'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 84'

Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
Chelsea 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
Brighton 3 - 1 Bournemouth
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa 40.93% (+0.02)
Draw 23.76% (+0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion 35.31% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.11% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.08% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 39.92% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 37.71% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 62.28% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 20.33% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 79.66% (+0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 80.2%
Under 0.5 19.8%
Over 1.5 48.13%
Under 1.5 51.87%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 77.45% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.54% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.87% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 56.13% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 40.93%
Draw 23.76%
Brighton & Hove Albion 35.31%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.72% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.23% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 40.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.76%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.65% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 35.31%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Douglas Luiz 8' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 26' goal
  • goal Deniz Undav 38'
Club Friendlies 1
Dec 8, 2022 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Ings 67' goal
  • Arjan Raikhy 85' goal
  • goal Deniz Undav 75'
  • goal Deniz Undav 81'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 13, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alexis Mac Allister 1' goal
  • goal Danny Ings 20'
  • goal Danny Ings 54'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marc Cucurella 16' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 25' yellowcard
  • Yves Bissouma 57' yellowcard
  • Joel Veltman 58' yellowcard
  • goal Matty Cash 17'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 19'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 25'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 40'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 40'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 68'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 83'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marvelous Nakamba 59' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 84' goal
  • Tyrone Mings 89' goal
  • Ezri Konsa 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 49'
  • yellowcard Adam Webster 67'
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 13, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Steven Alzate 20' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Grealish 21'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 70'
  • yellowcard Morgan Sanson 89'