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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Brighton
3 - 1
Bournemouth

Kerkez (45+2' og.), Mitoma (46', 77')
Veltman (37'), Gilmour (45+3'), Dunk (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Solanke (25')
Zabarnyi (41'), Brooks (89'), Senesi (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Roberto de Zerbi's inspired substitutions earn Brighton & Hove Albion a 3-1 win over Bournemouth at The American Express Community Stadium this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
63.46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 19.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 16.87% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.141 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.25% (0.139 0.14)37.74% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.01% (0.149 0.15)59.99% (-0.151 -0.15)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.031999999999996 0.03)11.31% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.03% (0.073999999999998 0.07)35.96% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (0.134 0.13)35.61% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62% (0.139 0.14)72.38% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 63.46%
    Bournemouth 16.87%
    Draw 19.66%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.91% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 63.46%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 16.87%

How you voted: Brighton vs Bournemouth

Brighton & Hove Albion
82.7%
Draw
12.7%
Bournemouth
4.5%
110
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bournemouth
0-2
Brighton
Ferguson (28'), Enciso (90+1')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Jan 21, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 28, 2019 12.30pm
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 34
Brighton
0-5
Bournemouth

Andone (50'), Bissouma (78')
Knockaert (68')
Gosling (33'), Fraser (55'), Brooks (74'), Wilson (82'), Stanislas (92')
Ake (22'), Mepham (50'), Gosling (64'), Boruc (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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