Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Brighton2 - 3AEK Athens
The Match
Match Report
Brighton & Hove Albion suffer a surprise 3-2 home defeat to Greek side AEK Athens in their first taste of European competition.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and AEK Athens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Brighton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Olympiacos
Sunday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | AEK Athens |
43.68% ( -0.06) | 23.42% ( -0.02) | 32.9% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 62.64% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.06% ( 0.1) | 38.93% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.75% ( 0.1) | 61.25% ( -0.1) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.79% ( 0.02) | 18.21% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.77% ( 0.02) | 49.22% ( -0.02) |
AEK Athens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.58% ( 0.09) | 23.41% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.59% ( 0.13) | 57.4% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion 43.68%
AEK Athens 32.9%
Draw 23.42%
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | AEK Athens |
2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 43.68% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.9% |
How you voted: Brighton vs AEK Athens
Brighton & Hove Albion
90.8%Draw
5.8%AEK Athens
3.3%120
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-28 19:22:47
Result
Baez
Fritz
Fritz
2 3
6 6
6 6
Result
Griekspoor
Rune
Rune
6 4 6
4 6 3
4 6 3
Result
Humbert
Struff
Struff
5 4
7 6
7 6
Result
Hurkacz
Altmaier
Altmaier
6 77
4 62
4 62
10am
Paul
Cerundolo
Cerundolo
Result
Rublev
Davidovich Fokina
Davidovich Fokina
712 6
610 4
610 4
Result
Seyboth Wild
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
3 3
6 6
6 6
10am
Shapovalov
Zverev
Zverev
Result
Sherif
Rybakina
Rybakina
1 4
6 6
6 6
Result
Krueger
Bejlek
Bejlek
3 1
6 6
6 6
Result
Putintseva
Dolehide
Dolehide
6 6
2 2
2 2
Result
Pavlyuchenkova
Kasatkina
Kasatkina
65 5
77 7
77 7
Result
Vondrousova
Andreeva
Andreeva
5 1
7 6
7 6
Result
Garcia
Paolini
Paolini
3 2
6 6
6 6
Result
Collins
Cristian
Cristian
3 6 6
6 4 1
6 4 1
7.10pm
Montgomery
Sabalenka
Sabalenka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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