Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
3 - 1
Newcastle

Ferguson (27', 65', 70')
Lamptey (83'), Milner (86'), Dahoud (90+5'), Lallana (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (90+2')
Gordon (23'), Schar (43'), Targett (68'), Burn (76')

Reaction

Brighton & Hove Albion's Evan Ferguson celebrates scoring their second goal on September 2, 2023

Evan Ferguson joins exclusive group after scoring hat-trick versus Newcastle United

Evan Ferguson joins an exclusive group of goalscorers after netting a hat-trick in Brighton & Hove Albion's 3-1 home win over Newcastle United in the Premier League.

Sep 2, 20:02

The Match

Match Report

Evan Ferguson scores the Premier League's third hat-trick of the day as Brighton & Hove Albion tear Newcastle United apart in an emphatic 3-1 victory at the Amex Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 1-3 West Ham
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 1-2 Liverpool
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Newcastle United
44.78% ( -0.04)	23.46% ( -0.01)	31.75% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 61.96% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.39% (

0.05)

39.61% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.04% (

0.05)

61.96% (

-0.05)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.96% (

18.03% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.07% (

48.92% (

-0)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.59% (

0.06)

24.4% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.18% (

0.08)

58.82% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 44.78%

Newcastle United 31.75%

Draw 23.46%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 44.78%	1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.46%	1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.75%