Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Evan Ferguson 27' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 65' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 70' goal
  • Tariq Lamptey 83' yellowcard
  • James Milner 86' yellowcard
  • Mahmoud Dahoud 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 23'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 43'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 68'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 76'
  • goal Callum Wilson 90'+2'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
Brighton 1 - 3 West Ham
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2023 4.30pm
Newcastle 1 - 2 Liverpool
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 44.78% (-0.05)
Draw 23.46% (-0.01)
Newcastle United 31.75% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.96% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.39% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 39.61% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 38.04% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 61.96% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 20.59% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 79.41% (-0.05)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 81.96% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.03% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 51.07% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 48.92% (-0.01)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 75.59% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 24.4% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 41.18% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 58.82% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 44.78%
Draw 23.46%
Newcastle United 31.75%
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 44.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 6.42% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.46%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 7.5% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.38% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.75%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 29, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Welbeck 49' goal
  • goal Elliot Anderson 86'
  • goal Elliot Anderson 90'
Premier League Gameweek 25
May 18, 2023 7.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Deniz Undav 22' goal
  • Dan Burn 45'+4' goal
  • Callum Wilson 89' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 90'+1' goal
  • goal Deniz Undav 51'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alexis Mac Allister 34' yellowcard
  • Solly March 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Allan Saint-Maximin 22'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 58'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ryan Fraser 12' goal
  • Fabian Schar 14' goal
  • Joelinton 87' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Dunk 55'
  • yellowcard Shane Duffy 63'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leandro Trossard 24' goal
  • Adam Lallana 75' yellowcard
  • Yves Bissouma 84' yellowcard
  • Neal Maupay 84' yellowcard
  • Robert Sanchez 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 12'
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 60'
  • goal Isaac Hayden 66'
  • yellowcard Jonjo Shelvey 69'
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 73'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 20, 2021 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leandro Trossard 45'+3' goal
  • Danny Welbeck 51' goal
  • Neal Maupay 68' goal
  • yellowcard Paul Dummett 63'