Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.