EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 29, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
2 - 3
Bournemouth

Grimes (9' pen.), Paterson (79')
Ginnelly (24'), Abdulai (52'), Naughton (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brooks (55'), Traore (68'), Christie (90+1')
Brooks (21'), Senesi (39'), Solanke (86'), Kerkez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Swansea City and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Swansea
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bournemouth

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Spurs
Saturday, August 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Bournemouth
56.05% ( 0.01)	22.12% ( -0)	21.83% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.41% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.49% (

0.02)

41.51% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.09% (

0.02)

63.91% (

-0.02)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.33% (

0.01)

14.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.17% (

0.02)

42.83% (

-0.02)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.28% (

0.01)

32.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.73% (

0.01)

69.27% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 56.05%

Bournemouth 21.83%

Draw 22.12%

Swansea City	Draw	Bournemouth
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 56.05%	1-1 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.12%	1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.41% Total : 21.83%