EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2023 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Joel Piroe 10' goal
  • Joel Piroe 53' goal
  • Josh Ginnelly 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Mitchell Pinnock 57'

Swansea City vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Northampton Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result

Swansea City 45.55% (-0.67)
Draw 24.69% (+0.12)
Northampton Town 29.76% (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.56% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.77% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 46.23% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 31.47% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 68.52% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 15.7% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 84.3% (+0.14)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 79.62% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 20.38% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 47.21% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 52.79% (+0.60)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.04% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 28.96% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 35.15% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 64.85% (-0.35)

Score analysis

Swansea City 45.55%
Draw 24.69%
Northampton Town 29.76%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 45.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.9% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.73% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.69%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 7.31% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 7.21% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.53% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.98% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.37% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.87% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 29.76%

Head to Head

EFL Cup Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andre Ayew 80' goal
  • George Byers 83' goal
  • Andre Ayew 88' goal
  • goal Mathew Warburton 61'
  • yellowcard Joe Bunney 76'
League One
Mar 15, 2008 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Poul Hübertz 14' goal
  • Alan Tate 20' goal
  • Poul Hübertz 23' goal
  • Danny Jackman 52' goal
  • Jason Crowe 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Tate 21'
  • goal Jason Scotland 29'
  • yellowcard Angel Rangel 30'
  • goal Jason Scotland 83'
League One
Dec 4, 2007 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jason Scotland 16' goal
  • Darren Pratley 19' goal
  • Jason Scotland 66' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Jackman 54'
  • yellowcard Jason Crowe 77'
League One
Mar 24, 2007 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dennis Lawrence 45' goal
  • Andy Robinson 46' goal
  • Kris O'Leary 69' yellowcard
  • goal Bradley Johnson 6'
  • yellowcard Jason Crowe 48'
  • yellowcard Kenny Deuchar 58'
League One
Oct 28, 2006 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott McGleish 33' yellowcard
  • Pedji Bojic 45' yellowcard
  • Luke Chambers 55' goal
  • Chris Doig 71' yellowcard
  • Luke Chambers 90' yellowcard
  • Jason Crowe 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Tate 37'
  • yellowcard Ezy Iriekpen 45'
  • yellowcard Leon Britton 62'
  • redcard Leon Britton 90'
League Two
Mar 19, 2005 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Martin Smith 35' goal
  • Andy Kirk 40' goal
  • Lee Williamson 61' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Connor 30'
  • yellowcard Kris O'Leary 32'
  • yellowcard Paul Connor 59'
  • yellowcard Kevin Austin 67'
  • goal Lee Trundle 70'
  • yellowcard Marcus Bean 87'