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Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Prenton Park
Northampton Town

Tranmere
0 - 1
Northampton


Davies (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hoskins (5')
Hylton (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 0-2 Northampton Town

Tranmere have been very disappointing all season, most recently drawing 1-1 away at 21st-placed AFC Wimbledon, and Dawes has not performed well in the role of interim manager. As such, we expect the visitors to get over the line and secure promotion back to the third tier with a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Northampton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawNorthampton Town
34.32% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 28.43% (-0.041 -0.04) 37.24% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.44% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.12% (0.141 0.14)59.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.85% (0.107 0.11)80.15% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.044999999999987 0.04)32.78% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (0.052 0.05)69.34% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (0.119 0.12)30.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (0.14100000000001 0.14)67.2% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 34.32%
    Northampton Town 37.24%
    Draw 28.42%
Tranmere RoversDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.32%
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.13% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 11.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 37.24%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Northampton

Tranmere Rovers
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Northampton Town
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Northampton
0-0
Tranmere

Briston (25')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 35
Northampton
3-2
Tranmere
Horsfall (29', 37'), Pinnock (66')
Horsfall (72'), Lubala (90+3')
McPake (75'), Hemmings (88' pen.)
McManaman (12'), McPake (68'), O'Connor (90+2')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
gameweek 14
Tranmere
0-2
Northampton

Spearing (72')
Etete (52'), Hoskins (68' pen.)
Lewis (43'), Koiki (58'), Hoskins (86')
Feb 5, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 27
Tranmere
1-2
Northampton
Norwood (25')
Hoskins (2', 45')
O'Toole (67'), Pierre (83'), Facey (87')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
gameweek 6
Northampton
1-1
Tranmere
Morias (61')
Norwood (51')
Banks (86'), Jennings (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15BarrowBarrow196581818023
16Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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