Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Northampton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.