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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
West Brom logo

Swansea
3 - 2
West Brom

Cundle (26'), Ntcham (66'), Piroe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yokuslu (13'), Ajayi (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Swansea City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
41.96% (-0.136 -0.14)25.3% (0.041999999999998 0.04)32.74% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.9% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.28% (-0.149 -0.15)47.72% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.09% (-0.137 -0.14)69.91% (0.143 0.14)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (-0.128 -0.13)22.65% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (-0.192 -0.19)56.28% (0.199 0.2)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)27.73% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)63.3% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.96%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.74%
    Draw 25.3%
Swansea CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.96%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.74%

How you voted: Swansea vs West Brom

Swansea City
65.0%
Draw
5.0%
West Bromwich Albion
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
West Brom
2-3
Swansea
Livermore (48'), Diangana (65')
Sorinola (6'), Ntcham (71'), Obafemi (89')
Manning (41')
Feb 28, 2022 8pm
gameweek 35
West Brom
0-2
Swansea
Piroe (79'), Christie (84')
Downes (33'), Cabango (64')
Oct 20, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 13
Swansea
2-1
West Brom
Piroe (61'), Paterson (83')
Paterson (83'), Bennett (90')
Grant (1')
Ajayi (9'), Furlong (43'), Molumby (45'), Livermore (69')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Dec 8, 2019 12pm