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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Norwich City |
43.4% ( -0.28) | 25.91% ( 0.08) | 30.69% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 53.05% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.96% ( -0.27) | 51.04% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.1% ( -0.23) | 72.9% ( 0.23) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( -0.25) | 23.39% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( -0.37) | 57.38% ( 0.37) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.25% | 30.75% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.99% ( 0) | 67.02% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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