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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 36.55% ( | 25.45% ( | 38% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( | 47.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( | 69.91% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( | 25.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% ( | 60.29% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( | 24.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.81% ( | 59.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 2-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 38% |