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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 31.45% ( | 25.68% ( | 42.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( | 49.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.23% | 71.77% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( | 29.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( | 65.62% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( | 23.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( | 56.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.45% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.87% |