Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.