Championship

Championship | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Millwall

Howson (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Auxerre
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Sittard
Saturday, July 29 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Millwall
39.58% ( -1.7)	26.18% ( 0.03)	34.23% ( 1.66)

Both teams to score 53.36% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.82% (

0.21)

51.17% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.98% (

0.18)

73.02% (

-0.19)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6% (

-0.8)

25.39% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.8% (

-1.1)

60.2% (

1.1)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52% (

1.17)

28.48% (

-1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75% (

1.45)

64.25% (

-1.45)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 39.58%

Millwall 34.23%

Draw 26.18%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.58%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.23%