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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
25.17% ( 0.3) | 21.82% ( 0.02) | 53% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 62.76% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.64% ( 0.19) | 36.36% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.51% ( 0.21) | 58.49% ( -0.21) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.88% ( 0.33) | 27.12% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.49% ( 0.43) | 62.51% ( -0.43) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.11% ( -0.04) | 13.89% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.7% ( -0.07) | 41.3% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.86% Total : 25.17% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.71% Total : 53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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