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Championship | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2023 at 1pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Rotherham
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Odofin (48')
Lindsay (29'), Odofin (68'), Bramall (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hackney (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Cardiff
Thursday, April 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 24 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Middlesbrough

On the back of two narrow defeats, Rotherham are under pressure to rise to the occasion on Monday, something which will not be easy against a team of Boro's quality. With the visitors able to play with more freedom, we feel that they will ultimately edge what will be a tense contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
25.17% (0.299 0.3) 21.82% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 53% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 62.76% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.64% (0.192 0.19)36.36% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.51% (0.21 0.21)58.49% (-0.208 -0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (0.32799999999999 0.33)27.12% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (0.427 0.43)62.51% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)13.89% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.7% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)41.3% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 25.17%
    Middlesbrough 53%
    Draw 21.82%
Rotherham UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.049 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.21% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 25.17%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.11% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 53%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Middlesbrough

Rotherham United
7.7%
Draw
23.1%
Middlesbrough
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 7.45pm
Jul 30, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
0-1
Middlesbrough
McNair (14')
Apr 21, 2021 6pm
gameweek 43
Rotherham
1-2
Middlesbrough
MacDonald (3')
Lindsay (64'), Smith (76')
Crooks (18')
Saville (33'), Akpom (55')
Saville (72'), McNair (90'), Kebano (90+1')
Jan 27, 2021 7pm
gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
0-3
Rotherham
Crooks (43'), Smith (79' pen.), Giles (90+2')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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