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Blackpool
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Millwall logo

Blackpool
2 - 3
Millwall

Yates (36' pen.), Fiorini (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bradshaw (2', 59'), Flemming (75' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackpool and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawMillwall
25.87% (0.02 0.02)25.72% (0.136 0.14)48.41% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.44% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.08% (-0.527 -0.53)52.91% (0.525 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.48% (-0.451 -0.45)74.52% (0.45 0.45)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (-0.268 -0.27)35.43% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (-0.281 -0.28)72.19% (0.279 0.28)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)21.87% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (-0.439 -0.44)55.11% (0.436 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 25.87%
    Millwall 48.4%
    Draw 25.72%
BlackpoolDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.17% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 25.87%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 11.77% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.95% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.54% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 48.4%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Millwall

Blackpool
22.5%
Draw
21.3%
Millwall
56.3%
80
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Millwall
2-1
Blackpool
Grimshaw (14' og.), Afobe (63')
Cooper (7')
Patino (33')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 28
Blackpool
1-0
Millwall
Lavery (55')
Garbutt (40')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
gameweek 5
Millwall
2-1
Blackpool
Wallace (63'), Cooper (90')
Mitchell (50'), Saville (62'), Malone (69'), Kieftenbeld (74')
Lavery (56')
Dougall (28'), Yates (62'), Anderson (74')
Connolly (14')
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
Millwall
3-0
Blackpool
Gregory (8'), Wallace (24'), Morison (84' pen.)
Thompson (40'), Beevers (79'), Upson (81')

Ikpeazu (36'), Herron (45'), White (56')
White (76')
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Blackpool
1-1
Millwall
Redshaw (82' pen.)
Beevers (35')
Martin (39'), Williams (42'), Ferguson (61'), Thompson (79'), Archer (82')
Edwards (81')