Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground
  • Ola Aina 5' goal
  • Orel Mangala 47' goal
  • Danilo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 64'

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2023 2.00pm
Liverpool 3 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Chris Wood

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2023 2.00pm
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Nottingham Forest 32.35% (-0.02)
Draw 25.72% (-0.06)
Aston Villa 41.92% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.36% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.35% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 49.65% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 28.33% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 71.67% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 13.53% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 86.47% (-0.13)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 71.07% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 28.93% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 35.19% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 64.81% (-0.13)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 76.49% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 23.51% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 42.46% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 57.54% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 32.35%
Draw 25.72%
Aston Villa 41.92%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.57% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 32.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.48% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.84% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.44% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 41.92%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bertrand Traore 48' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 90'+5' goal
Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 10, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Emmanuel Dennis 15' goal
  • goal Ashley Young 22'
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT The City Ground (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
  • Jack Colback 3' goal
  • Karim Ansarifard 29' yellowcard
  • Alexander Milosevic 61' yellowcard
  • Jack Colback 86' yellowcard
  • goal John McGinn 7'
  • goal John McGinn 15'
  • yellowcard Kortney Hause 28'
  • goal Kortney Hause 61'
  • yellowcard Neil Taylor 65'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Kodjia 96'
Championship Gameweek 19
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
5
5
HT : 3 3
FT Villa Park (Birmingham)
  • Tammy Abraham 11' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 14' goal
  • Yannick Bolasie 20' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 36' goal
  • Alan Hutton 69' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 71' goal
  • Anwar El Ghazi 75' goal
  • Anwar El Ghazi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Grabban 3'
  • goal Joao Carvalho 6'
  • goal Matty Cash 22'
  • goal Joe Lolley 51'
  • yellowcard Claudio Yacob 65'
  • redcard Tobias Figueiredo 68'
  • yellowcard Tendayi Darikwa 69'
  • yellowcard Jack Colback 78'
  • goal Lewis Grabban 82'
Championship
Jan 13, 2018 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Eric Lichaj 61' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 63' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Hogan 18'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Elmohamady 71'
  • yellowcard John Terry 89'
Championship
Sep 23, 2017 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Albert Adomah 15' goal
  • Conor Hourihane 60' goal
  • Neil Taylor 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Bridcutt 42'
  • goal Daryl Murphy 52'
  • yellowcard Ben Brereton 59'
  • yellowcard Matt Mills 90'