Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2023 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Tomas Pekhart 14' yellowcard
  • Steve Kapuadi 87' yellowcard
  • Blaz Kramer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Murawski 64'
  • yellowcard Mikael Ishak 73'

Legia Warsaw vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Nov 5, 2023 4.30pm
Radomiak Radom 0 - 1 Legia
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Josue Pesqueira

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 7.00pm
Lech Poznan 2 - 0 Ruch Chorzow
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mikael Ishak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Legia Warsaw 52.21% (-0.39)
Draw 22.57% (+0.16)
Lech Poznan 25.22% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.12% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.14% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 39.86% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 37.78% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 62.22% (+0.52)
Over 4.5 20.38% (-0.41)
Under 4.5 79.62% (+0.41)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 84.63% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 15.37% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 55.84% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 44.16% (+0.58)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 71.04% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 28.96% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 35.15% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 64.85% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Legia Warsaw 52.21%
Draw 22.57%
Lech Poznan 25.22%
Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 7.81% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 52.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.45% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.57%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 6.4% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.52% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.42% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.65% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.41% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 25.22%