Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.