Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
0 - 0
Lech Poznan


Pekhart (14'), Kapuadi (87'), Kramer (90+1')
FT

Murawski (64'), Ishak (73')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Legia 2-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Ruch Chorzow
Saturday, November 4 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawLech Poznan
52.21% (-0.389 -0.39)22.57% (0.153 0.15)25.22% (0.235 0.24)
Both teams to score 60.12% (-0.286 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.14% (-0.492 -0.49)39.86% (0.491 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.78% (-0.512 -0.51)62.22% (0.511 0.51)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63% (-0.30499999999999 -0.3)15.37% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.84% (-0.576 -0.58)44.16% (0.575 0.57)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)28.96% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (-0.103 -0.1)64.85% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 52.21%
    Lech Poznan 25.22%
    Draw 22.57%
Legia WarsawDrawLech Poznan
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.81% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 52.21%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.049 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 25.22%

rhs 2.0


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