Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 14

Nov 4, 2023 at 7pm UK

INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
2 - 0
Ruch Chorzow

Ishak (36'), Velde (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Michalski (7'), Kozak (68')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Ruch Chorzow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Cracovia 1-1 Lech Poznan
Saturday, October 28 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Ruch Chorzow

All competitions

Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 2-2 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, October 28 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 17.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Ruch Chorzow win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Ruch Chorzow
60.07% ( -0.03)	22.08% ( 0)	17.85% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.88% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05% (

0.03)

46.95% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8% (

0.03)

69.2% (

-0.03)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.79% (

15.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.14% (

43.85%

Ruch Chorzow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.01% (

0.05)

39.99% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.36% (

0.05)

76.64% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 60.06%

Ruch Chorzow 17.85%

Draw 22.07%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Ruch Chorzow
1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.37% Total : 60.06%	1-1 @ 10.49% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.07%	0-1 @ 5.58% 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.85%