Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Mateusz Bartolewski 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Tomas Podstawski 45'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafal Kurzawa 3'
  • goal Fredrik Ulvestad 28'
  • goal Kamil Grosicki 57'
  • goal Maciej Sadlok 63' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alexander Gorgon 77'
  • yellowcard Mariusz Fornalczyk 87'

Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Szczecin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ruch Chorzow

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 4.30pm
Puszcza Niepolomice 2 - 2 Ruch Chorzow
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Daniel Szczepan

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 4.30pm
Szczecin 5 - 0 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Kamil Grosicki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Ruch Chorzow win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result

Ruch Chorzow 36.23% (-0.08)
Draw 25.1% (-0.03)
Pogon Szczecin 38.67% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.36% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.85% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 46.15% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 31.55% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 68.45% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 15.75% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 84.24% (-0.08)

Ruch Chorzow Goals

Over 0.5 75.08% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.92% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 40.46% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.54% (-0.02)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5 76.4% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 23.6% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 42.32% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 57.68% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Ruch Chorzow 36.23%
Draw 25.09%
Pogon Szczecin 38.67%
Ruch Chorzow
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 36.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.92% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.09%
Pogon Szczecin
1-2 @ 8.52% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.95% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.67%