Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
5 - 0
Lech Poznan

Ulvestad (17'), Gorgon (33'), Bichakhchyan (39'), Grosicki (47'), Fornalczyk (90+3')
Ulvestad (29'), Cojocaru (48'), Grosicki (66')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Szczecin 3-4 Legia
Wednesday, September 27 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Rakow
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawLech Poznan
33.44% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)24.35% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)42.21% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.43% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.79% (0.027999999999999 0.03)43.21% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.39% (0.026000000000003 0.03)65.61% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.14% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)59.85% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.025000000000006 0.03)20.61% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (0.040999999999997 0.04)53.16% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 33.44%
    Lech Poznan 42.21%
    Draw 24.35%
Pogon SzczecinDrawLech Poznan
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.44%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 42.21%