Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Cracovia
1 - 1
Lech Poznan

Ghita (80')
Ghita (44'), Rakoczy (57'), Myszor (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Velde (45+1')
Ishak (3'), Murawski (78')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between KS Cracovia and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

KS Cracovia

All competitions
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Cracovia
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-3 Jagiellonia
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest KS Cracovia win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
KS CracoviaDrawLech Poznan
35.38% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)26.38% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)38.24% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.88% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.14% (0.107 0.11)51.86% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38% (0.094000000000001 0.09)73.61% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)63.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.10900000000001 0.11)26.44% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (0.143 0.14)61.61% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    KS Cracovia 35.38%
    Lech Poznan 38.24%
    Draw 26.37%
KS CracoviaDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 35.38%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.24%