Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest KS Cracovia win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.