Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 11

Oct 6, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
4 - 1
Puszcza Niepolomice

Ba Loua (2'), Karlstrom (43'), Ishak (51'), Milic (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Zapolnik (4')
Craciun (33')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Puszcza Niepolomice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Szczecin 5-0 Lech Poznan
Sunday, October 1 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Ruch Chorzow
Saturday, September 30 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Puszcza Niepolomice
67.88% ( 0.03)	19.18% ( -0)	12.94% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.62% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.09% (

-0.03)

43.91% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.7% (

-0.03)

66.3% (

0.03)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.08%

11.92% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.72% (

-0)

37.28% (

Puszcza Niepolomice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.21% (

-0.06)

44.79% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.23% (

-0.04)

80.77% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 67.86%

Puszcza Niepolomice 12.94%

Draw 19.18%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Puszcza Niepolomice
2-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 67.86%	1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.18%	0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.24% Total : 12.94%