Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.