Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Virgil-Eugen Ghita 57' goal
  • Kamil Glik 60' goal
  • Kamil Glik 64' yellowcard
  • Kacper Smiglewski 86' yellowcard
  • goal Bartlomiej Wdowik 7'
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 9'
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 49'
  • goal Dominik Marczuk 55'

KS Cracovia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

KS Cracovia

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 2.00pm
LKS Lodz 0 - 2 Cracovia
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Benjamin Kallman

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 7.00pm
Jagiellonia 2 - 0 Legia
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Jesus Imaz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result

KS Cracovia 44.19% (+1.11)
Draw 26.42% (-0.06)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 29.4% (-1.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.82% (-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.38% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 53.62% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 24.88% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 75.12% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 11.28% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 88.72% (+0.13)

KS Cracovia Goals

Over 0.5 75.87% (+0.45)
Under 0.5 24.13% (-0.45)
Over 1.5 41.56% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 58.44% (-0.63)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 66.99% (-0.89)
Under 0.5 33.01% (+0.89)
Over 1.5 30.4% (-0.99)
Under 1.5 69.6% (+0.99)

Score analysis

KS Cracovia 44.18%
Draw 26.42%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 29.4%
KS Cracovia
1-0 @ 11.32% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 8.92% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.05% (+0.28)
3-1 @ 4.23% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 3.82% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.36% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.97% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.42%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.20)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 29.4%