Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 21, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Cracovia
1 - 1
Piast Gliwice

Kallman (44')
Atanasov (49'), Makuch (58'), Oshima (72'), Jugas (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dziczek (90+4' pen.)
Felix (36'), Vukovic (37'), Katranis (49'), Tomasiewicz (58'), Vukovic (64')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between KS Cracovia and Piast Gliwice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cracovia 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin
Friday, August 11 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-1 Rakow
Friday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest KS Cracovia win was 1-0 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
KS CracoviaDrawPiast Gliwice
30.67% (-0.426 -0.43)29.66% (-0.385 -0.39)39.67% (0.816 0.82)
Both teams to score 42.36% (0.852 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.48% (1.091 1.09)64.52% (-1.087 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.45% (0.763 0.76)83.55% (-0.759 -0.76)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.1% (0.283 0.28)37.9% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.32% (0.273 0.27)74.67% (-0.27 -0.27)
Piast Gliwice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (1.068 1.07)31.78% (-1.063 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (1.206 1.21)68.21% (-1.2 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    KS Cracovia 30.66%
    Piast Gliwice 39.66%
    Draw 29.65%
KS CracoviaDrawPiast Gliwice
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 6.5% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.1% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 30.66%
1-1 @ 13.39% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 12.04% (-0.5 -0.5)
2-2 @ 3.73% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.65%
0-1 @ 13.8% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.194 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 39.66%