Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Lodz

Widzew Lodz
2 - 0
Cracovia

Pawlowski (36'), Jugas (71' og.)
Milos (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Emilian Rapa (62'), Ghita (90')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Widzew Lodz and KS Cracovia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Legia 3-1 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, September 3 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 0-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, September 2 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest KS Cracovia win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Widzew Lodz would win this match.

Result
Widzew LodzDrawKS Cracovia
39.78% (-0.267 -0.27)26.77% (-0.196 -0.2)33.44% (0.46100000000001 0.46)
Both teams to score 51.29% (0.722 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (0.869 0.87)53.74% (-0.872 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.726 0.73)75.22% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (0.25700000000001 0.26)26.46% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (0.343 0.34)61.64% (-0.345 -0.34)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.75% (0.73999999999999 0.74)30.25% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58% (0.877 0.88)66.42% (-0.879 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Widzew Lodz 39.78%
    KS Cracovia 33.44%
    Draw 26.77%
Widzew LodzDrawKS Cracovia
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.07% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.78%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.44%