Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 9
Sep 22, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

LKS Lodz
2 - 2
Jagiellonia

Tejan (23'), Ramirez (90' pen.)
Szeliga (7'), Hoti (28'), Flis (33'), Pirulo (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pululu (40' pen., 77')
Dieguez (90+9'), Nguiamba (90+11'), Abramowicz (90+10'), Matysik (90+9')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between LKS Lodz and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

LKS Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Rakow 1-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, September 16 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-2 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LKS Lodz win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a LKS Lodz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
LKS LodzDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
47.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)25.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)26.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.4% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (0.010999999999996 0.01)49.49% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)71.52% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
LKS Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)20.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)53.24% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)32.7% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)69.25% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    LKS Lodz 47.96%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 26.97%
    Draw 25.05%
LKS LodzDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 47.96%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.55%
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 26.97%

rhs 2.0


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