Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8

Sep 17, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
3 - 2
Radomiak Radom

Imaz (27'), Naranjo (45+8'), Pululu (46')
Nene (32'), Kupisz (84')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Henrique (3', 12')
Raphael (32'), Cestor (34'), Machado (55'), Kaput (80')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, September 3 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Radomiak Radom

All competitions

Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, September 2 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Radomiak Radom
40.56% ( -0.01)	25.94% ( -0.01)	33.5% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.99% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.71% (

0.06)

50.28% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.76% (

0.06)

72.23% (

-0.05)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52% (

0.02)

24.47% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.07% (

0.03)

58.92% (

-0.03)

Radomiak Radom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49% (

0.05)

28.51% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.71% (

0.06)

64.28% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 40.56%

Radomiak Radom 33.5%

Draw 25.93%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Radomiak Radom
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.56%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.5%