Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Puszcza Niepolomice
1 - 1
Cracovia

Siemaszko (41')
Siemaszko (17'), Mrozinski (78'), Craciun (80'), Hajda (88'), Serafin (88'), Bartosz (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Knap (85')
Zielinski (18'), Ghita (70')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Puszcza Niepolomice and KS Cracovia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 2-4 Jagiellonia
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawKS Cracovia
30.6% (0.348 0.35)27.6% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)41.8% (-0.337 -0.34)
Both teams to score 47.91% (0.163 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (0.14 0.14)57.61% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (0.112 0.11)78.38% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (0.32900000000001 0.33)34.21% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (0.351 0.35)70.91% (-0.349 -0.35)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)27.17% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42% (-0.151 -0.15)62.58% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Puszcza Niepolomice 30.6%
    KS Cracovia 41.8%
    Draw 27.6%
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawKS Cracovia
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.49% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 30.6%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.3% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 12.11% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.89% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.8%

rhs 2.0


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