Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12

Oct 21, 2023 at 7pm UK

INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
3 - 1
LKS Lodz

Ishak (18', 44'), Velde (81')
Murawski (41')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Juric (64')
Mokrzycki (2')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and LKS Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

LKS Lodz

All competitions

Last Game: Radomiak Radom 3-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, October 7 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for LKS Lodz had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a LKS Lodz win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	LKS Lodz
60.19% ( 0.26)	21.56% ( -0.17)	18.25% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.9% (

0.57)

44.1% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.52% (

0.55)

66.48% (

-0.56)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.77% (

0.27)

14.23% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.03% (

0.52)

41.97% (

-0.52)

LKS Lodz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.14% (

0.23)

37.85% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.37% (

0.22)

74.63% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 60.18%

LKS Lodz 18.25%

Draw 21.56%

Lech Poznan	Draw	LKS Lodz
1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.81% Total : 60.18%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.56%	0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 18.25%