Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Oct 24, 2023 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 0
FT INEA stadion
  • Adriel Ba Loua 2' goal
  • 3' goal
  • Mikael Ishak 43' goal
  • Adriel Ba Loua 48' yellowcard
  • Adriel Ba Loua 51' goal
  • Filip Marchwinski 55' yellowcard
  • Elias Andersson 64' yellowcard
  • Alan Czerwinski 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Velde 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 54'
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 63'
  • goal Mateusz Skrzypczak 66'
  • goal Bartlomiej Wdowik 90'+6'

Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 7.00pm
Lech Poznan 3 - 1 LKS Lodz
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mikael Ishak

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Oct 20, 2023 7.30pm
Jagiellonia 3 - 0 Zaglebie Lubin
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Jesus Imaz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 15.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result

Lech Poznan 64.25% (+0.01)
Draw 19.79% (-0.01)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 15.96% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.52% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.88% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 40.12% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 37.51% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 62.49% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 20.17% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 79.82% (+0.01)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 88.19%
Under 0.5 11.8% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 62.97%
Under 1.5 37.02% (-0.01)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 61.82% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 38.18% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.06% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.94% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 64.24%
Draw 19.79%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 15.96%
Lech Poznan
2-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.63% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.33% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.06%
4-0 @ 3.91%
4-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-2 @ 1.82%
5-0 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 64.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 4.77%
0-0 @ 4.51%
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.79%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.34%
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53%
1-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.96%