Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Oct 24, 2023 at 5pm UK
INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
3 - 3
Jagiellonia

Ba Loua (2', 51'), Ishak (43')
Ba Loua (48'), Marchwinski (55'), Andersson (64'), Velde (90+7'), Czerwinski (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Normann Hansen (54'), Skrzypczak (66'), Wdowik (90+6' pen.)
Romanczuk (63')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-1 LKS Lodz
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 15.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
64.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)15.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 54.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)40.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.49% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.19%11.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.97%37.02% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)38.18% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.94% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 64.24%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 15.96%
    Draw 19.79%
Lech PoznanDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.06%
4-0 @ 3.91%
4-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-2 @ 1.82%
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 64.24%
1-1 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 4.77%
0-0 @ 4.51%
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.79%
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.34%
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53%
1-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.96%

How you voted: Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia

Lech Poznan
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
11.1%
9