Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
3 - 0
Zaglebie Lubin

Skrzypczak (28'), Pululu (44' pen.), Wdowik (66')
Nene (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Zaglebie Lubin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cracovia 2-4 Jagiellonia
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, October 7 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawZaglebie Lubin
35.94% (-0.474 -0.47)25.74% (0.076000000000001 0.08)38.31% (0.396 0.4)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.3 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.93% (-0.367 -0.37)49.07% (0.365 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.85% (-0.333 -0.33)71.14% (0.33099999999999 0.33)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (-0.446 -0.45)26.44% (0.445 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (-0.596 -0.6)61.61% (0.595 0.59)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.046000000000006 0.05)25.11% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.061999999999998 0.06)59.81% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 35.94%
    Zaglebie Lubin 38.31%
    Draw 25.74%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawZaglebie Lubin
1-0 @ 8.83% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 35.94%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.149 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.88% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 38.31%

rhs 2.0


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