Polish Ekstraklasa
Gameweek
16
Nov 25, 2023 7.00pm
2
2
HT :
1
2
FT
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
-
Pawel Wszolek
32'
-
Radovan Pankov
39'
-
Josue Pesqueira
45'+5'
-
Josue Pesqueira
45'+7'
-
Bartosz Slisz
54'
-
Ernest Muci
63'
-
Jurgen Celhaka
86'
-
Tomas Prikryl
7'
-
Marton Eppel
40'
-
Jakub Bartkowski
59'
-
Stefan Savic
78'
-
Adrian Lis
89'
-
Dawid Szymonowicz
90'+7'
Legia Warsaw vs Warta Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Warta Poznan win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result
Legia Warsaw
60.01%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
22.39%
▼
(-0.12)
Warta Poznan
17.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
49.43%
▲
(+0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.36%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 2.5
48.64%
▼
(-0.48)
Over 3.5
29.24%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 3.5
70.76%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 4.5
14.15%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 4.5
85.85%
▼
(-0.30)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5
84.2%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 0.5
15.8%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
55.04%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 1.5
44.96%
▼
(-0.38)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5
58.71%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 0.5
41.29%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 1.5
22.19%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
77.81%
▼
(-0.25)
Score analysis
Legia Warsaw
60%
Draw
22.38%
Warta Poznan
17.6%
Legia Warsaw
1-0
@
12.03%
▼
(-0.17)
2-0 @ 11.1% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 60%
2-0 @ 11.1% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 60%
Draw
1-1
@
10.64%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 22.38%
0-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 22.38%
Warta Poznan
0-1
@
5.77%
▼
(-0.07)
1-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.6%
1-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.6%