Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 15
Nov 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej

Warta Poznan
0 - 2
Puszcza Niepolomice


Plesnierowicz (18')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Yakuba (14'), Craciun (24')
Zapolnik (36'), Stepien (42')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Puszcza Niepolomice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Warta Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 0-1 Warta Poznan
Saturday, November 4 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 0-2 Szczecin
Saturday, November 4 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Warta PoznanDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
43.69%27.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.18% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03)58.12% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21% (0.029 0.03)78.78% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (0.016000000000005 0.02)26.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)61.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.89% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33% (0.027999999999999 0.03)72.67% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Warta Poznan 43.69%
    Puszcza Niepolomice 28.75%
    Draw 27.55%
Warta PoznanDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
1-0 @ 12.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 43.69%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.48% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 28.75%