Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Lodz

Widzew Lodz
0 - 1
Warta Poznan

FT(HT: 0-1)
Eppel (20')
Borowski (67'), Grobelny (90+2')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Widzew Lodz and Warta Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Rakow 1-1 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, October 29 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Warta Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, October 28 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Warta Poznan in this match.

Result
Widzew LodzDrawWarta Poznan
33.79% (0.102 0.1)27.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)38.54% (-0.105 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.61% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.84% (0.011000000000003 0.01)57.16% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.98% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)78.02% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.075000000000003 0.08)31.74% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.085999999999999 0.09)68.17% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)28.78% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)64.63% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Widzew Lodz 33.78%
    Warta Poznan 38.54%
    Draw 27.66%
Widzew LodzDrawWarta Poznan
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.78%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 11.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.09% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 38.54%