Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Piast Gliwice would win this match.