Premier League Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
  • Antonee Robinson 27' goal
  • John McGinn 42' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 64' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 66' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Palhinha 52'
  • yellowcard Antonee Robinson 64'
  • goal Raul Jimenez 70'
  • yellowcard Alex Iwobi 74'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vinicius 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Harrison Reed 90'+6'

Aston Villa vs Fulham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2023 2.00pm
Nott'm Forest 2 - 0 Aston Villa
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Fulham

All competitions
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 12.30pm
Fulham 0 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Rodrigo Muniz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result

Aston Villa 63.36% (+0.97)
Draw 19.87% (-0.16)
Fulham 16.77% (-0.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.12% (-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.08% (-0.80)
Under 2.5 38.91% (+0.80)
Over 3.5 38.77% (-0.85)
Under 3.5 61.22% (+0.85)
Over 4.5 21.16% (-0.68)
Under 4.5 78.83% (+0.67)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 88.31% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 11.68% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 63.22% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 36.77% (-0.06)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5 63.55% (-1.43)
Under 0.5 36.44% (+1.43)
Over 1.5 26.76% (-1.47)
Under 1.5 73.23% (+1.47)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 63.36%
Draw 19.87%
Fulham 16.77%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.91% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (+0.39)
1-0 @ 9.14% (+0.35)
3-1 @ 7.09% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.02% (+0.28)
4-1 @ 3.81% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.77% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 63.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 5% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 4.26% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.87%
Fulham
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.19)
0-1 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 16.77%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 27, 2023 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Exploria Stadium
  • goal Jaden Philogene-Bidace 40'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 73'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tyrone Mings 21' goal
Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2022 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harrison Reed 36' goal
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 68' goal
  • Tyrone Mings 83' goal
Premier League Gameweek 30
Apr 4, 2021 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Douglas Luiz 15' yellowcard
  • Trezeguet 78' goal
  • Trezeguet 81' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 87' goal
  • yellowcard Joachim Andersen 16'
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 61'
  • yellowcard Bobby Reid 74'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Sep 28, 2020 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Craven Cottage
  • Bobby Reid 11' yellowcard
  • Tom Cairney 23' yellowcard
  • Denis Odoi 47' yellowcard
  • Joe Bryan 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Maxime Le Marchand 68' yellowcard
  • Aboubakar Kamara 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Grealish 4'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 11'
  • goal Conor Hourihane 15'
  • goal Tyrone Mings 48'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 59'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 90'+1'
FA Cup Gameweek 3
Jan 4, 2020 3.01pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kevin McDonald 47' yellowcard
  • Anthony Knockaert 54' goal
  • Harry Arter 74' goal
  • Anthony Knockaert 88' yellowcard
  • Michael Hector 97' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marvelous Nakamba 6'
  • yellowcard Neil Taylor 21'
  • goal Anwar El Ghazi 63'
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 96'

Build-up

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