Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Chelsea |
| 32.63% ( | 25.06% ( | 42.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% ( | 46.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.03% ( | 68.96% ( |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% | 27.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( | 62.75% ( |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( | 22.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( | 55.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 4-1 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.63% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.3% |