/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffullog.png)
-
Julian Alvarez
31'
-
Rodri
41'
-
Nathan Ake
45'+5'
-
Erling Haaland
58'
-
Erling Haaland
70'
-
Bernardo Silva
78'
-
Erling Haaland
90'+5'
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Tim Ream
33'
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Issa Diop
43'
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Antonee Robinson
45'+3'
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Bobby Reid
54'
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Andreas Pereira
69'
Manchester City vs Fulham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Fmarco-silva.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F35%2Ferlhal.JPG)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F35%2Fjeremy-doku.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F34%2Ferlhal.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 11.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Manchester City
71.95%
▼
(-0.44)
Draw
16.31%
▲
(+0.22)
Fulham
11.74%
▲
(+0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
55.38%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.72%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 2.5
33.28%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 3.5
44.96%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 3.5
55.05%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 4.5
26.26%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 4.5
73.74%
▲
(+0.47)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
91.9%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
8.1%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 1.5
71.54%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 1.5
28.46%
▲
(+0.52)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5
60.26%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
39.74%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
23.59%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
76.41%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Manchester City
71.95%
Draw
16.31%
Fulham
11.74%
Manchester City
2-0
@
10.16%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.04)
5-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 71.95%
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.04)
5-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 71.95%
Draw
1-1
@
7.47%
▲
(+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.31%
2-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.31%
Fulham
1-2
@
3.45%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 11.74%
0-1 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 11.74%
Head to Head
Tim Ream
6'
Build-up
Team News