Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 60.47%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.24% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (7.27%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.1%).