UEFA Super Cup | Final

Aug 16, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki

Man City
1 - 1
Sevilla

Palmer (63')

FT
(aet)

En-Nesyri (25')
Bade (33'), Lamela (61'), Sanchez (90')

Man City win 5-4 on penalties

Reaction

Manchester City's Cole Palmer celebrates scoring their first goal on August 16, 2023

Pep Guardiola discusses Cole Palmer Manchester City future after UEFA Super Cup win

Pep Guardiola admits that he is unsure whether Cole Palmer will stay at Manchester City beyond the summer transfer window.

Aug 17, 07:13

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 0-3 Man City
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Valencia
Friday, August 11 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 60.47%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.24% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (7.27%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.1%).

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Sevilla
60.47% ( 4.56)	19.3% ( -2.22)	20.24% ( -2.35)

Both teams to score 65.31% (

4.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.88% (

7.62)

30.12% (

-7.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.66% (

8.65)

51.34% (

-8.65)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.17% (

3.62)

9.83% (

-3.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.37% (

7.82)

32.62% (

-7.82)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43% (

2.37)

27.57% (

-2.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.91% (

2.96)

63.09% (

-2.96)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 60.47%

Sevilla 20.24%

Draw 19.3%

Manchester City	Draw	Sevilla
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.81) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.73) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -1.8) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.74) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.94) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.55) 4-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.74) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.64) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.43) 5-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.47) 4-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.37) Other @ 3.81% Total : 60.47%	1-1 @ 8.1% ( -1.65) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( -1.32) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.43) Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.3%	1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.66) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( -1.37) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.47% Total : 20.24%