La Liga | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Reale Arena
Real Sociedad2 - 1Sevilla
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
We said: Real Sociedad 0-0 Sevilla
In what is the true definition of a dead rubber, neither Sociedad nor Sevilla will deploy their strongest starting lineups at Reale Arena, where fans should prepare for a relatively uneventful encounter between two sides who already have an eye on their holidays. Alguacil's side may still look to take advantage of their visitors' weary and jet-lagged legs, but with the hosts also sure to give minutes to their peripheral players, we can only envisage the Champions League qualifiers happily shaking hands on a point apiece. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
52.32% ( 0.73) | 26.81% ( 0.19) | 20.87% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 42.32% ( -1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
