La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
2 - 1
Sevilla

Mendez (28'), Cho (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lamela (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Roma (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, May 31 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Sevilla
52.32% ( 0.73)	26.81% ( 0.19)	20.87% ( -0.92)

Both teams to score 42.32% (

-1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.18% (

-1.44)

60.82% (

1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.14% (

-1.09)

80.85% (

1.09)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

-0.29)

23.48% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.49% (

-0.43)

57.51% (

0.43)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.31% (

-1.82)

44.68% (

1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.32% (

-1.5)

80.68% (

1.5)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 52.31%

Sevilla 20.87%

Draw 26.8%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 15.2% ( 0.67) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 52.31%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.5% Total : 26.8%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.87%