Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
1 - 0
Luton

Vinicius (65')
Castagne (40'), Diop (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chong (27'), Kaminski (37')

The Match

Match Report

Carlos Vinicius comes off the bench to score the only goal in Fulham's Premier League clash with Luton Town at Craven Cottage.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 5-1 Fulham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Luton 1-2 West Ham
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fulham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fulham.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Luton Town
37.28% ( -0.01)	26.84% ( -0)	35.88% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.42% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.27% (

0.01)

53.73% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.78% (

0.01)

75.22% (

-0.01)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.12% (

27.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.51% (

63.49%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

0.01)

28.71% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

0.02)

64.54% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Fulham 37.27%

Luton Town 35.88%

Draw 26.83%

Fulham	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.27%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.88%