Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Marvelous Nakamba 87' yellowcard
  • Mads Andersen 90'+2' goal
  • goal Jarrod Bowen 37'
  • yellowcard Emerson Palmieri 81'
  • goal Kurt Zouma 85'

Luton Town vs West Ham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Premier League
Last game
Aug 25, 2023 8.00pm
Chelsea 3 - 0 Luton
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Elijah Adebayo

West Ham United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
Brighton 1 - 3 West Ham
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Jarrod Bowen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a West Ham United win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result

Luton Town 49.59% (+0.01)
Draw 25.26% (-0.02)
West Ham United 25.15% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.18% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.37% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 51.62% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 26.59% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 73.41% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 12.38% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 87.62% (-0.05)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.16% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.83% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 46.49% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 53.51% (-0.06)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5 64.65% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 35.34% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 27.89% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 72.1% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Luton Town 49.58%
Draw 25.26%
West Ham United 25.15%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.42% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 2.56% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 49.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.9% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.26%
West Ham United
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.15%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sonny Bradley 90' goal
  • goal Tomas Soucek 27'