Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
0 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Chilwell (31'), Jackson (36'), Gallagher (43')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Elanga (48')
Aina (41'), Yates (61'), Tavares (86'), Turner (90+8')

Reaction

Chelsea head coach Mauricio Pochettino during defeat to Nottingham Forest on September 2, 2023.

Mauricio Pochettino: 'Nottingham Forest defeat will help Chelsea mature'

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Sep 3, 09:21

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-1 Burnley
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 70.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 11.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Nottingham Forest
70.86% ( -0.04)	17.86% ( 0.05)	11.28% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.85% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.84% (

-0.21)

42.15% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.44% (

-0.21)

64.56% (

0.2)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.36% (

-0.07)

10.64% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.52% (

-0.15)

34.48% (

0.15)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.54% (

-0.13)

46.45% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.93% (

-0.1)

82.07% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 70.85%

Nottingham Forest 11.28%

Draw 17.86%

Chelsea	Draw	Nottingham Forest
2-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.97% Total : 70.85%	1-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 17.86%	0-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 11.28%