EFL Cup
Aug 30, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Cheikhou Kouyate 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Brennan Johnson 85' yellowcard
  • Serge Aurier 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hjalmar Ekdal 52'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 66'
  • goal Zeki Amdouni 90'
  • yellowcard Arijanet Muric 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 90'+7'

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Burnley

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match.

Result

Nottingham Forest 23.99% (+0.06)
Draw 24.25% (+0.01)
Burnley 51.76% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.12% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.51% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 48.5% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 29.38% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 70.62% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 14.25% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.76% (-0.03)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 65.36% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 34.64% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 28.63% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 71.37% (-0.08)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 81.28% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.72% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 49.91% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.09% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 23.99%
Draw 24.25%
Burnley 51.75%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 6.88% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.11% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.64% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.16% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 23.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.25%
Burnley
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.1% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.08% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.26% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.75%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 29, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daryl Murphy 33' goal
  • goal Andre Gray 57'
Championship
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sam Vokes 68' goal
  • yellowcard Bojan Jokic 42'
Championship
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nelson Oliveira 26' yellowcard
  • Eric Lichaj 73' goal
  • Eric Lichaj 74' yellowcard
  • Henri Lansbury 75' redcard
  • Ryan Mendes 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Keane 39'
  • yellowcard Ben Mee 86'
  • goal Matthew Taylor 90'
Championship
Feb 22, 2014 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Scott Arfield 12' goal
  • Sam Vokes 25' goal
  • Sam Vokes 35' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Fox 47'
  • goal Djamel Abdoun 80'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Greening 89'
Championship
Nov 23, 2013 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Henri Lansbury 13' yellowcard
  • Simon Cox 41' goal
  • goal Sam Vokes 28'
  • yellowcard Scott Arfield 38'
League Cup
Sep 24, 2013 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Danny Ings 43' goal
  • Danny Ings 68' goal
  • Junior Stanislas 90' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Derbyshire 24'
  • yellowcard Guy Moussi 30'
  • yellowcard Simon Gillett 44'
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 48'