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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Villa Park
Manchester City logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Man City

Bailey (74')
Watkins (60'), Kamara (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stones (45'), Lewis (53')

The Match

Match Report

A sprightly Aston Villa add another twist to the Premier League title race with a merited 1-0 win over a meek Manchester City side at Villa Park.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-3 Spurs
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
31.47% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 24.11% (0.0030000000000001 0) 44.42% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)42.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.21% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (0.031000000000006 0.03)26.13% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (0.042000000000002 0.04)61.2% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)19.47% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)51.32% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 31.47%
    Manchester City 44.42%
    Draw 24.11%
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.58% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 31.47%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 44.42%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man City

Aston Villa
29.8%
Draw
17.5%
Manchester City
52.6%
285
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Man City
3-1
Aston Villa
Rodri (4'), Gundogan (39'), Mahrez (45+1' pen.)
Watkins (61')
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aston Villa
1-1
Man City
Bailey (74')
Cash (26'), Digne (71')
May 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 38
Man City
3-2
Aston Villa
Gundogan (76', 81'), Rodri (78')
Cash (37'), Coutinho (69')
Mings (49'), Nakamba (87')
Dec 1, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 14
Aston Villa
1-2
Man City
Watkins (47')
Dias (27'), Silva (43')
Apr 21, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 32
Aston Villa
1-2
Man City
McGinn (1')
Cash (54')
Cash (57')
Foden (22'), Rodri (40')
Gundogan (44')
Stones (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
2Arsenal32225575264971
3Liverpool32218372314171
4Aston Villa33196868491963
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham33139115258-648
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32127134651-543
12Fulham33126154951-242
13Bournemouth32119124757-1042
14Crystal Palace3289153754-1733
15Brentford3388174758-1132
16Everton3298153248-1627
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3379174258-1626
18Luton TownLuton3367204670-2425
19Burnley3348213368-3520
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3237223084-5416


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