Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
6 - 1
Bournemouth

Doku (30'), Silva (33', 83'), Akanji (37'), Foden (64'), Ake (88')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Sinisterra (74')
Billing (32')

Reaction

Manchester City's Erling Haaland reacts after missing a chance to score on November 4, 2023

Pep Guardiola issues Erling Haaland injury update after Bournemouth win

Pep Guardiola provides an injury update on Erling Haaland after the striker was withdrawn at half time in Manchester City's 6-1 win over Bournemouth in the Premier League.

Nov 4, 19:02

Jeremy Doku celebrates scoring for Manchester City in November 2023

Manchester City's Jeremy Doku breaks two Premier League records in Bournemouth win

Jeremy Doku breaks two Premier League records after starring in Manchester City's 6-1 victory against Bournemouth at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday.

Nov 4, 18:40

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Man City
Sunday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bournemouth

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.4%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 5.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 4-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.79%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Bournemouth
84.4% ( -0.03)	10.34% ( 0.02)	5.26% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.19% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.46% (

-0.05)

26.55% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.09% (

-0.07)

46.91% (

0.07)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.59% (

-0.01)

4.42% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.81% (

-0.04)

18.19% (

0.05)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.42% (

-0)

49.59% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.63% (

-0)

84.37% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 84.39%

Bournemouth 5.26%

Draw 10.34%

Manchester City	Draw	Bournemouth
3-0 @ 11.08% 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 4.49% Total : 84.39%	1-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.62% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 10.34%	1-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 5.26%