Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
6
1
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Jeremy Doku 30' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 33' goal
  • Manuel Akanji 37' goal
  • Phil Foden 64' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 83' goal
  • Nathan Ake 88' goal
  • yellowcard Philip Billing 32'
  • goal Luis Sinisterra 74'

Manchester City vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2023 3.30pm
Man Utd 0 - 3 Man City
Goals scored
96
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
Bournemouth 2 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Solanke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.4%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 5.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 4-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.79%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 84.4% (-0.04)
Draw 10.34% (+0.03)
Bournemouth 5.26% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.19% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.46% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 26.55% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 53.09% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 46.91% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 33.63% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 66.37% (+0.07)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 95.59% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 4.42% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 81.81% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 18.19% (+0.05)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 50.42% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 49.59% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 15.63% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 84.37% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Manchester City 84.39%
Draw 10.34%
Bournemouth 5.26%
Manchester City
3-0 @ 11.08%
2-0 @ 10.65% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 8.65% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.78% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.48% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.83% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 6.06% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 5.39% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 3.78% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.81% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.97% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
7-0 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 84.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.79% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.62% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 10.34%
Bournemouth
1-2 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 5.26%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Jefferson Lerma 83' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 15'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 29'
  • goal Phil Foden 45'
  • goal Chris Mepham 51' (OG)
Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Ilkay Gundogan 19' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 31' goal
  • Phil Foden 37' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 79' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Stacey 5'
  • yellowcard Chris Mepham 56'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 90'+2'
EFL Cup
Sep 24, 2020 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Liam Delap 18' goal
  • Phil Foden 75' goal
  • Liam Delap 79' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 22'
  • yellowcard Jordan Zemura 70'
  • yellowcard Lewis Cook 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Jul 15, 2020 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • David Silva 6' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 39' goal
  • Eric Garcia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lloyd Kelly 17'
  • goal David Brooks 88'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2019 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Harry Wilson 45' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 10'
  • yellowcard Ederson 13'
  • goal Sergio Aguero 15'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 43'
  • goal Sergio Aguero 64'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 90'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 2, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joshua King 84' yellowcard
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 55'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 65'
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 84'

Build-up

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