Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-0 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester City |
| 17.2% ( | 20.93% ( | 61.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57% ( | 43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( | 65.4% ( |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.59% ( | 38.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.84% ( | 75.16% ( |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.64% ( | 13.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.75% ( | 40.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester City |
| 1-0 @ 4.91% ( 2-1 @ 4.73% ( 2-0 @ 2.35% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-1 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 17.2% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.93% | 0-2 @ 10.39% 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0-3 @ 6.98% ( 1-3 @ 6.67% ( 0-4 @ 3.51% ( 1-4 @ 3.36% ( 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 2-4 @ 1.61% 0-5 @ 1.41% ( 1-5 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 61.86% |