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Rodri
24'
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Rodri
24'
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Julian Alvarez
47'
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Ruben Dias
56'
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Julian Alvarez
60'
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Rodri
73'
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Milan Rodic
32'
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Milan Rodic
32'
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Osman Bukari
45'
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Osman Bukari
45'
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Marko Stamenic
82'
Manchester City vs Red Star Belgrade - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.02%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 20.33% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (5.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Score analysis
3-1 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.12)
1-0 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 61.02%
2-2 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 18.65%
0-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.02%
Total : 20.33%
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