Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
50.93% ( -0.03)	21.77% ( 0.01)	27.28% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 65.1% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.8% (

-0.05)

34.19% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.91% (

-0.05)

56.08% (

0.05)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.21% (

-0.03)

13.78% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.9% (

-0.05)

41.09% (

0.04)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.51% (

-0.02)

24.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.05% (

-0.02)

58.94% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 50.93%

Red Star Belgrade 27.29%

Draw 21.77%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.84% Total : 50.93%	1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.77%	1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.29%