Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Fenerbahce win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.