Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 26
May 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Saint Petersburg Stadium

Zenit
3 - 2
Spartak Moscow

Claudinho (13'), Mostovoy (39'), Sergeev (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Balde (33'), Promes (85' pen.)
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Last Game: Zenit 2-0 Akron
Saturday, December 6 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 1-1 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, December 6 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 12.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Spartak Moscow win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawSpartak Moscow
70.14% (-0.83199999999999 -0.83)17.24% (0.431 0.43)12.62% (0.4 0.4)
Both teams to score 54.67% (-0.361 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.45% (-1.069 -1.07)35.54% (1.069 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.4% (-1.194 -1.19)57.59% (1.192 1.19)
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.93% (-0.459 -0.46)9.07% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.17% (-1.112 -1.11)30.83% (1.111 1.11)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.12% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)39.88% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.46% (-0.084 -0.08)76.54% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 70.13%
    Spartak Moscow 12.62%
    Draw 17.24%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawSpartak Moscow
2-0 @ 10.41% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.28 0.28)
3-0 @ 8.34% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.66% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 5% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-1 @ 4.6% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.4% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-1 @ 2.21% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 70.13%
1-1 @ 7.98% (0.238 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.19 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.24%
1-2 @ 3.67% (0.101 0.1)
0-1 @ 3.32% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 12.62%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 6pm
gameweek 8
Spartak Moscow
1-2
Zenit
Sobolev (21')
Lovren (48'), Mostovoy (60')
May 15, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 29
Spartak Moscow
1-1
Zenit
Sobolev (49')
Sobolev (51'), Martins Pereira (55'), Moses (85'), Khlusevich (88'), Dzhikiya (90+6')
Mostovoy (90+3' pen.)
Oct 24, 2021 5pm
gameweek 12
Zenit
7-1
Spartak Moscow
Azmoun (19', 36'), Claudinho (28'), Mostovoy (45', 56'), Dzyuba (80' pen.), Erokhin (89')
Rakitskiy (72')
Promes (53')
Caufriez (65'), Bakaev (90+2')
Caufriez (79')
Dec 16, 2020 5pm
gameweek 19
Zenit
3-1
Spartak Moscow
Azmoun (8'), Rakitskiy (73'), Dzyuba (90+4')
Malcom (40'), Wendel (78'), Barrios (83')
Lovren (22' og.)
Zobnin (25'), Larsson (36'), Dzhikiya (54')
Oct 3, 2020 5pm
gameweek 10
Spartak Moscow
1-1
Zenit
Ponce (86')
Sobolev (59'), Yeshchenko (90+3')
Erokhin (65')
Santos (37'), Barrios (88'), Lovren (89')