Russian Premier League | Gameweek 26
May 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Saint Petersburg Stadium
Zenit3 - 2Spartak Moscow
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Spartak Moscow.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-5 Zenit
Saturday, April 29 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, April 29 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 1-1 Rostov
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 12.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Spartak Moscow win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
70.14% ( -0.83) | 17.24% ( 0.43) | 12.62% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 54.67% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.45% ( -1.07) | 35.54% ( 1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.4% ( -1.19) | 57.59% ( 1.19) |
Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.93% ( -0.46) | 9.07% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.17% ( -1.11) | 30.83% ( 1.11) |
Spartak Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.12% ( -0.09) | 39.88% ( 0.09) |